مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ponte Preta v Grêmio Novorizontino

البداية: 2026-06-22 23:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Ponte Preta 0–2 Grêmio Novorizontino

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ponte Preta (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.36%4.47السعر العادل
EV +0.619%
الأفضلية +0.138%
Kelly +0.177%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.76%22.36%22.36%24.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.144.204.5027.03%24.13%23.81%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.82%2.05السعر العادل
EV -4.32%
الأفضلية -2.20%
Kelly -4.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.69%48.76%48.78%51.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.871.901.9658.14%53.49%52.63%51.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.82%3.47السعر العادل
EV -3.45%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -1.47%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.78%28.88%28.87%30.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.183.203.3535.71%31.41%31.25%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 22:39
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 22:40
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 22:09
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 22:09
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 22:09
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 22:10
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 22:10
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 22:09
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 22:09
Pinnacle4.44I 22.52%NM 21.65%EV -0.722%E -0.163%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.04%EV -4.32%E -2.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -5.46%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 22:40
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -12.62%E -7.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-22 22:09
1xBet4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.52%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.62%EV -5.75%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 22:50
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.04%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.15%EV -8.35%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 22:40
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.91%EV -14.08%E -8.00%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-22 22:09
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 22:39
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 22:39
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-22 22:48
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-22 22:39
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-22 22:49
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 22:39
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -12.13%E -6.74%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-22 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -14.57%E -8.32%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-22 22:30
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -15.06%E -8.65%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-22 22:09
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -7.21%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 22:39
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -7.21%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 22:40
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 22:39
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.03%E -9.32%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-22 22:29
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.03%E -9.32%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-22 22:29
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.03%E -9.32%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-22 22:29
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.78%E -3.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 22:29
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-22 22:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-22 22:40
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-22 22:40
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-22 22:29
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -8.71%E -4.66%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-22 22:39
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-22 22:39
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-22 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.69%EV -10.66%E -5.83%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.52%EV -19.30%E -6.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%17.0%2026-06-22 22:39
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -5.78%E -3.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-22 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-22 22:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-06-22 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-06-22 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-06-22 22:50
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-06-22 22:50
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-06-22 22:50