La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Ponte Preta v Grêmio Novorizontino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ponte Preta (Local)
Predicción 22.36%4.47momio equitativo
EV +0.619%
Ventaja +0.138%
Kelly +0.177%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.76%22.36%22.36%24.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.144.204.5027.03%24.13%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante)
Predicción 48.82%2.05momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -4.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.69%48.76%48.78%51.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.871.901.9658.14%53.49%52.63%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.82%3.47momio equitativo
EV -3.45%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.78%28.88%28.87%30.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.183.203.3535.71%31.41%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| BetUS | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Pinnacle | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.65%EV -0.722%E -0.163%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.04%EV -4.32%E -2.20%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -5.46%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -12.62%E -7.05%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| 1xBet | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.52%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.62%EV -5.75%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.04%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.15%EV -8.35%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.91%EV -14.08%E -8.00%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| DraftKings | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 22:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-22 22:49 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -12.13%E -6.74%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -14.57%E -8.32%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-22 22:30 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -15.06%E -8.65%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Betsson | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -7.21%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -7.21%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.03%E -9.32%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.03%E -9.32%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.03%E -9.32%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.78%E -3.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -8.71%E -4.66%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.69%EV -10.66%E -5.83%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.52%EV -19.30%E -6.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -5.78%E -3.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Neds | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 22:50 |
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-06-22 22:50 |