The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ponte Preta v Fortaleza

2026-10-24 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ponte Preta (Local)

Prediction 10.62%9.41fair odd
EV -0.354%
Edge -0.038%
Kelly -0.042%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.04%10.68%10.59%12.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.368.509.3813.33%11.97%11.76%10.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fortaleza (Visit)

Prediction 69.65%1.44fair odd
EV -5.98%
Edge -4.43%
Kelly -17.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.87%69.51%69.82%70.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.331.3577.52%75.43%75.19%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.73%5.07fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.695%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.11%19.80%19.60%20.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.614.604.9323.09%21.71%21.74%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ponte Preta (Local): 10.62%; Fortaleza (Visit): 69.65%; Draw: 19.73%. For Ponte Preta (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.41. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 9.38, with an expected value of -0.354%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯9.38I 10.66%NM 10.04%EV -0.354%E -0.038%K -0.042%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.73%E -0.554%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 23:20
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 22:49
SportsBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.30%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 22:50
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.30%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 23:35
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:34
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 23:15
Betsson🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 23:15
NordicBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 23:15
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -7.05%E -0.805%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -8.76%E -6.69%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.30%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 22:40
1xBet🎯8.55I 11.70%NM 10.84%EV -9.17%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 23:05
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 22:45
FanDuel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.79%EV -8.76%E -6.69%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 22:50
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 22:50
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.24%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 22:50
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 00:10
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -14.57%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 23:10
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -14.57%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 23:10
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -14.57%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 22:50
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 00:10
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.09%EV -10.16%E -7.87%K -35.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.19%EV -14.18%E -3.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-18 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎7.60I 13.16%NM 11.25%1.26I 79.37%NM 67.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.86%16.9%2026-10-17 23:15