StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ponte Preta v Fortaleza

2026-10-24 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ponte Preta (Hemma)

Prognos 10.62%9.41rättvist odds
EV -0.354%
Fördel -0.038%
Kelly -0.042%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.04%10.68%10.59%12.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.508.368.509.3813.33%11.97%11.76%10.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fortaleza (Borta)

Prognos 69.65%1.44rättvist odds
EV -5.98%
Fördel -4.43%
Kelly -17.07%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.87%69.51%69.82%70.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.291.331.331.3577.52%75.43%75.19%74.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 19.73%5.07rättvist odds
EV -2.73%
Fördel -0.554%
Kelly -0.695%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.93

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.11%19.80%19.60%20.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.334.614.604.9323.09%21.71%21.74%20.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Ponte Preta (Hemma): 10.62%; Fortaleza (Borta): 69.65%; Oavgjort: 19.73%. För Ponte Preta (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 9.41. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 9.38, med väntevärdet -0.354%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯9.38I 10.66%NM 10.04%EV -0.354%E -0.038%K -0.042%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.73%E -0.554%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 23:20
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 22:49
SportsBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.30%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 22:50
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.30%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 23:35
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:34
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 23:15
Betsson🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 23:15
NordicBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 23:15
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -7.05%E -0.805%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -8.76%E -6.69%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.30%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 22:40
1xBet🎯8.55I 11.70%NM 10.84%EV -9.17%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 23:05
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 22:45
FanDuel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.79%EV -8.76%E -6.69%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 22:50
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 22:50
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.24%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 22:50
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 00:10
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -14.57%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 23:10
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -14.57%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 23:10
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -14.57%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 22:50
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 00:10
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.09%EV -10.16%E -7.87%K -35.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.19%EV -14.18%E -3.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-18 00:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎7.60I 13.16%NM 11.25%1.26I 79.37%NM 67.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.86%16.9%2026-10-17 23:15