Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ponte Preta v Fortaleza

2026-10-24 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ponte Preta (Local)

Prévision 10.62%9.41cote équitable
EV -0.354%
Avantage -0.038%
Kelly -0.042%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 9.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.04%10.68%10.59%12.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.508.368.509.3813.33%11.97%11.76%10.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fortaleza (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.65%1.44cote équitable
EV -5.98%
Avantage -4.43%
Kelly -17.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.87%69.51%69.82%70.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.291.331.331.3577.52%75.43%75.19%74.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.73%5.07cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -0.554%
Kelly -0.695%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.11%19.80%19.60%20.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.614.604.9323.09%21.71%21.74%20.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Ponte Preta (Local) : 10.62% ; Fortaleza (Visiteur) : 69.65% ; Match nul : 19.73%. Pour Ponte Preta (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 9.41. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 9.38, pour une espérance de -0.354% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯9.38I 10.66%NM 10.04%EV -0.354%E -0.038%K -0.042%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.11%EV -2.73%E -0.554%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 23:20
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 22:49
SportsBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.30%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 22:50
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.30%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 23:35
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:34
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 23:15
Betsson🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 23:15
NordicBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -4.39%E -0.488%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 23:15
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -7.05%E -0.805%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -8.76%E -6.69%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.30%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 22:40
1xBet🎯8.55I 11.70%NM 10.84%EV -9.17%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 23:05
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.28%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 22:45
FanDuel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.79%EV -8.76%E -6.69%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 22:50
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -9.70%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 22:50
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.24%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 22:50
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 00:10
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -14.57%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 23:10
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -14.57%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 23:10
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -15.01%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -14.57%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 22:50
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 22:50
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -8.07%E -6.11%K -25.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 00:10
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -9.46%E -7.28%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -20.33%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.09%EV -10.16%E -7.87%K -35.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.19%EV -14.18%E -3.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-18 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎7.60I 13.16%NM 11.25%1.26I 79.37%NM 67.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.86%16.9%2026-10-17 23:15