Language:English
Ponte Preta v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prediction 10.44%9.58fair odd
EV +1.80%
Edge +0.185%
Kelly +0.206%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 9.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.51%10.53%10.35%12.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.548.509.7513.33%11.70%11.76%10.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)
Prediction 71.96%1.39fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -3.80%
Kelly -15.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.66%71.94%72.05%74.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.291.3281.97%77.69%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.60%5.68fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.209%
Kelly +0.253%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.03%17.53%17.60%19.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.145.105.7521.74%19.44%19.61%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ponte Preta (Local): 10.44%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 71.96%; Draw: 17.60%. For Ponte Preta (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV +1.80%E +0.185%K +0.206%G +0.004% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.91%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.47%EV +0.320%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -0.809%E -0.085%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.72%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +0.320%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.809%E -0.085%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -0.809%E -0.085%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -12.21%E -10.01%K -55.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -3.20%E -0.582%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.47I 10.56%NM 10.12%EV -1.12%E -0.119%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.63%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.24%EV -2.14%E -0.386%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 9.90%EV -2.90%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.06%EV -9.33%E -7.41%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -4.96%E -0.918%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.20%E -0.582%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.32%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV +0.320%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -1.44%E -0.257%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -1.44%E -0.257%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -4.96%E -0.918%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV +1.20%E +0.209%K +0.253%G +0.003% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -12.21%E -10.01%K -55.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -19.04%E -4.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 13:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.02%EV -11.35%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.97%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.20%E -0.582%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -12.29%E -1.46%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.38%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.74%EV -9.36%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -12.29%E -1.46%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.38%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.74%EV -9.36%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 13:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.76%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.96%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.96%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.96%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.98%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -17.28%E -3.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -19.08%E -2.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.49%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.31% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35% | 1.9% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |