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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Ponte Preta v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Início: 2026-09-20 14:00 UTC

Final: Ponte Preta 1–0 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ponte Preta (Local)

Previsão 10.44%9.58odd justa
EV +1.80%
Vantagem +0.185%
Kelly +0.206%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.51%10.53%10.35%12.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.508.548.509.7513.33%11.70%11.76%10.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)

Previsão 71.96%1.39odd justa
EV -5.01%
Vantagem -3.80%
Kelly -15.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.66%71.94%72.05%74.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.291.291.3281.97%77.69%77.52%75.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 17.60%5.68odd justa
EV +1.20%
Vantagem +0.209%
Kelly +0.253%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.03%17.53%17.60%19.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.605.145.105.7521.74%19.44%19.61%17.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ponte Preta (Local): 10.44%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante): 71.96%; Empate: 17.60%. Para Ponte Preta (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.58. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.80%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV +1.80%E +0.185%K +0.206%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.91%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.47%EV +0.320%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:54
FanDuel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -0.809%E -0.085%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.72%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +0.320%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 13:54
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.809%E -0.085%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -0.809%E -0.085%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -12.21%E -10.01%K -55.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -3.20%E -0.582%K -0.711%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 13:59
Pinnacle🎯9.47I 10.56%NM 10.12%EV -1.12%E -0.119%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.63%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.24%EV -2.14%E -0.386%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 9.90%EV -2.90%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.06%EV -9.33%E -7.41%K -35.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -4.96%E -0.918%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 13:54
DraftKings🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.20%E -0.582%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.32%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV +0.320%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -1.44%E -0.257%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 13:59
BetUS🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -1.44%E -0.257%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 13:59
Bovada🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -4.96%E -0.918%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:59
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV +1.20%E +0.209%K +0.253%G +0.003%8.5%2026-09-20 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 13:54
betano_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 13:54
Bet Victor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 13:59
Paddy Power🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -12.21%E -10.01%K -55.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 13:54
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 13:54
888sport🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:54
William Hill🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:54
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -19.04%E -4.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 13:39
betfred_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 13:54
1xBet🎯8.49I 11.78%NM 11.02%EV -11.35%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.97%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.20%E -0.582%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 13:54
Betsson🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -12.29%E -1.46%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.38%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.74%EV -9.36%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 13:54
NordicBet🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -12.29%E -1.46%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.38%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.74%EV -9.36%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 13:39
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.76%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 13:29
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 13:59
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 13:59
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.96%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.96%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 13:29
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.96%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 13:29
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.98%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -17.28%E -3.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 13:29
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -19.08%E -2.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.49%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-09-20 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-09-20 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-09-20 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-09-20 13:54
Smarkets◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35%1.9%2026-09-20 13:59