L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Ponte Preta v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 14:00 UTC

Score final : Ponte Preta 1–0 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ponte Preta (Local)

Prévision 10.44%9.58cote équitable
EV +1.80%
Avantage +0.185%
Kelly +0.206%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 9.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.51%10.53%10.35%12.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.508.548.509.7513.33%11.70%11.76%10.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.96%1.39cote équitable
EV -5.01%
Avantage -3.80%
Kelly -15.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.66%71.94%72.05%74.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.291.291.3281.97%77.69%77.52%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.60%5.68cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.209%
Kelly +0.253%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.03%17.53%17.60%19.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.145.105.7521.74%19.44%19.61%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ponte Preta (Local) : 10.44% ; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visiteur) : 71.96% ; Match nul : 17.60%. Pour Ponte Preta (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.58. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.75, soit une espérance positive de +1.80%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV +1.80%E +0.185%K +0.206%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.91%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.47%EV +0.320%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:54
FanDuel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -0.809%E -0.085%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.72%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +0.320%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 13:54
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.809%E -0.085%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -0.809%E -0.085%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -12.21%E -10.01%K -55.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -3.20%E -0.582%K -0.711%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 13:59
Pinnacle🎯9.47I 10.56%NM 10.12%EV -1.12%E -0.119%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.63%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.24%EV -2.14%E -0.386%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 9.90%EV -2.90%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.06%EV -9.33%E -7.41%K -35.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -4.96%E -0.918%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 13:54
DraftKings🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.20%E -0.582%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.32%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV +0.320%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -1.44%E -0.257%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 13:59
BetUS🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -1.44%E -0.257%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 13:59
Bovada🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -4.96%E -0.918%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:59
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV +1.20%E +0.209%K +0.253%G +0.003%8.5%2026-09-20 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 13:54
betano_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 13:54
Bet Victor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 13:59
Paddy Power🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -6.03%E -0.670%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -12.21%E -10.01%K -55.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 13:54
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:29
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 13:54
888sport🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:54
William Hill🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:54
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -19.04%E -4.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 13:39
betfred_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.25%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -10.05%E -8.04%K -40.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 13:54
1xBet🎯8.49I 11.78%NM 11.02%EV -11.35%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.97%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.20%E -0.582%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 13:54
Betsson🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -12.29%E -1.46%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.38%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.74%EV -9.36%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 13:54
NordicBet🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -12.29%E -1.46%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.38%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.74%EV -9.36%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 13:39
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.76%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 13:29
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 13:59
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 13:59
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.96%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.96%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 13:29
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.96%EV -7.89%E -6.17%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 13:29
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.47%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.98%EV -8.61%E -6.78%K -31.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -17.28%E -3.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 13:29
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -19.08%E -2.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.49%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.69%E -2.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-09-20 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-09-20 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-09-20 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-09-20 13:54
Smarkets◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35%1.9%2026-09-20 13:59