A Escola das Odds

Operario PR v Londrina

Início: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

Final: Operario PR 3–0 Londrina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Previsão 52.34%1.91odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -1.43%
Kelly -3.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.43%52.34%52.44%55.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.781.781.8661.73%56.06%56.18%53.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Londrina (Visitante)

Previsão 19.00%5.26odd justa
EV +3.55%
Vantagem +0.651%
Kelly +0.798%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.01%19.04%18.92%21.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.694.605.4523.81%21.32%21.74%18.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.66%3.49odd justa
EV -3.97%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.32%28.62%28.64%30.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.233.203.3534.72%30.97%31.25%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.60%EV +3.55%E +0.651%K +0.798%G +0.028%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 18:45
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.11%EV -8.94%E -5.14%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.27%EV +1.65%E +0.308%K +0.379%G +0.006%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -10.57%E -3.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 18:52
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV +0.700%E +0.132%K +0.163%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:55
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV +0.700%E +0.132%K +0.163%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -15.22%E -9.39%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV +0.700%E +0.132%K +0.163%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 18:40
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.94%E -5.14%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.87%EV -0.630%E -0.120%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -5.69%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:51
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -7.37%E -4.16%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.20%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:45
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.21%EV -7.89%E -4.48%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -1.20%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 18:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 18:40
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 18:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 18:45
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.05%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 18:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.52%EV -9.46%E -5.47%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 18:45
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.42%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.91%EV -7.85%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:51
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.42%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.91%EV -7.85%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.80%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -9.46%E -5.47%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.75%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:56
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:55
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -11.03%E -6.49%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -14.50%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -14.50%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -14.50%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.56%EV -2.66%E -1.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:40
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:40
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:39
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:40
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:40
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -9.46%E -5.47%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -17.73%E -4.09%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.88%EV -12.60%E -7.55%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.62%EV -17.73%E -4.09%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.50%EV -17.45%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000%17.7%2026-05-03 18:45
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -18.30%E -4.26%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.43%EV -5.27%E -2.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -19.25%E -4.53%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 18:50
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -19.25%E -4.53%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 18:50
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -20.20%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -20.20%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 18:49
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -20.20%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-05-03 18:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-05-03 18:56
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.48%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.18%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-03 18:54