Langue:Français
Operario PR v Londrina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Operario PR (Local)
Prévision 52.34%1.91cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.43%52.34%52.44%55.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.781.781.8661.73%56.06%56.18%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Londrina (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.00%5.26cote équitable
EV +3.55%
Avantage +0.651%
Kelly +0.798%
Croissance +0.028%
avec la cote maximale 5.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.01%19.04%18.92%21.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.694.605.4523.81%21.32%21.74%18.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.66%3.49cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.32%28.62%28.64%30.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.233.203.3534.72%30.97%31.25%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Operario PR (Local) : 52.34% ; Londrina (Visiteur) : 19.00% ; Match nul : 28.66%. Pour Londrina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.26. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.45, soit une espérance positive de +3.55%.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.60%EV +3.55%E +0.651%K +0.798%G +0.028% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.11%EV -8.94%E -5.14%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.27%EV +1.65%E +0.308%K +0.379%G +0.006% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -10.57%E -3.39%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 18:52 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV +0.700%E +0.132%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV +0.700%E +0.132%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -15.22%E -9.39%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV +0.700%E +0.132%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.94%E -5.14%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.87%EV -0.630%E -0.120%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -5.69%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -7.37%E -4.16%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.20%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.21%EV -7.89%E -4.48%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -1.20%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.05%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.52%EV -9.46%E -5.47%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.42%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.91%EV -7.85%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.42%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.91%EV -7.85%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.80%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -9.46%E -5.47%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.75%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -11.03%E -6.49%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -14.50%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -14.50%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -14.50%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.56%EV -2.66%E -1.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -9.46%E -5.47%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -17.73%E -4.09%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.88%EV -12.60%E -7.55%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.62%EV -17.73%E -4.09%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.50%EV -17.45%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -18.30%E -4.26%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.43%EV -5.27%E -2.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -19.25%E -4.53%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -19.25%E -4.53%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -20.20%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -20.20%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -20.20%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.48% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.18% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |