La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Operario PR v Londrina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Operario PR (Local)
Predicción 52.34%1.91momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -3.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.43%52.34%52.44%55.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.781.781.8661.73%56.06%56.18%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Londrina (Visitante)
Predicción 19.00%5.26momio equitativo
EV +3.55%
Ventaja +0.651%
Kelly +0.798%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.01%19.04%18.92%21.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.694.605.4523.81%21.32%21.74%18.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.66%3.49momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.32%28.62%28.64%30.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.203.3534.72%30.97%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.60%EV +3.55%E +0.651%K +0.798%G +0.028% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.11%EV -8.94%E -5.14%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.27%EV +1.65%E +0.308%K +0.379%G +0.006% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -10.57%E -3.39%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 18:52 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV +0.700%E +0.132%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV +0.700%E +0.132%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -15.22%E -9.39%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV +0.700%E +0.132%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.94%E -5.14%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.87%EV -0.630%E -0.120%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -5.69%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -7.37%E -4.16%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.20%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.21%EV -7.89%E -4.48%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -1.20%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.05%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.52%EV -9.46%E -5.47%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -5.00%E -1.000%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.42%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.91%EV -7.85%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.42%EV -8.41%E -4.81%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.91%EV -7.85%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.80%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -9.46%E -5.47%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.75%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -11.03%E -6.49%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -12.60%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -14.50%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -14.50%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -14.50%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.56%EV -2.66%E -1.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:39 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -16.40%E -3.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -9.46%E -5.47%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -17.73%E -4.09%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.88%EV -12.60%E -7.55%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.62%EV -17.73%E -4.09%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.50%EV -17.45%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -18.30%E -4.26%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.43%EV -5.27%E -2.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -19.25%E -4.53%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -19.25%E -4.53%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -20.20%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -20.20%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -6.84%E -3.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -20.20%E -4.81%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.48% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.18% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |