Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Operario PR v Fortaleza

Início: 2026-04-26 21:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Operario PR (Local)

Previsão 37.45%2.67odd justa
EV -4.86%
Vantagem -1.92%
Kelly -3.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.11%37.51%37.46%40.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.402.402.5445.45%41.67%41.67%39.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fortaleza (Visitante)

Previsão 30.52%3.28odd justa
EV +5.29%
Vantagem +1.53%
Kelly +2.16%
Crescimento +0.114%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.00%30.31%30.48%31.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.113.103.4535.71%32.16%32.26%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 32.03%3.12odd justa
EV -3.92%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.97%32.18%32.06%34.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.852.883.0038.46%35.11%34.78%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Operario PR (Local): 37.45%; Fortaleza (Visitante): 30.52%; Empate: 32.03%. Para Fortaleza (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.28. 14 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.29%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:09
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:10
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -14.60%E -6.40%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:09
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -15.73%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV +3.76%E +1.11%K +1.57%G +0.059%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -16.48%E -7.39%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV +2.24%E +0.667%K +0.951%G +0.021%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 22:09
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -16.48%E -7.39%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV +2.24%E +0.667%K +0.951%G +0.021%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:10
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:10
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.26%EV -4.86%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.76%EV -2.95%E -0.929%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.98%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 12:20
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.85%EV -4.78%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.91%EV -9.36%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.94%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.94%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.74%EV -9.36%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:35
Bovada🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 15:41
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 02:34
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 07:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 07:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 07:14
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 07:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -16.73%E -6.43%K -10.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:10
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:03
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:44
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:45
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 00:14
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 11:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 06:04
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-24 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 37.54%EV -10.48%E -4.39%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 14:30
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 11:54
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:00
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 21:04
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 21:10
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.86%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 11:20
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -12.11%E -4.20%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 12:48
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.11%E -4.20%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 06:00
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 12:59
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -15.77%E -6.00%K -9.67%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-21 06:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 37.16%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.93%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.91%16.0%2026-04-20 11:20