L’École des cotesFrançais
Operario PR v Fortaleza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Operario PR (Local)
Prévision 37.45%2.67cote équitable
EV -4.86%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -3.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.11%37.51%37.46%40.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.5445.45%41.67%41.67%39.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fortaleza (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.52%3.28cote équitable
EV +5.29%
Avantage +1.53%
Kelly +2.16%
Croissance +0.114%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.00%30.31%30.48%31.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.113.103.4535.71%32.16%32.26%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.03%3.12cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.97%32.18%32.06%34.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.852.883.0038.46%35.11%34.78%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -14.60%E -6.40%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -15.73%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV +3.76%E +1.11%K +1.57%G +0.059% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -16.48%E -7.39%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV +2.24%E +0.667%K +0.951%G +0.021% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -16.48%E -7.39%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV +2.24%E +0.667%K +0.951%G +0.021% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.26%EV -4.86%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.76%EV -2.95%E -0.929%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.98%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.85%EV -4.78%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.91%EV -9.36%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.94%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.94%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.74%EV -9.36%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Bovada | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 15:41 |
| BetUS | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 02:34 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 07:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 07:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 07:14 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 07:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -16.73%E -6.43%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 21:03 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 15:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 11:55 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 06:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 37.54%EV -10.48%E -4.39%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 14:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 11:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 21:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 21:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.86%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-20 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -12.11%E -4.20%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 12:48 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.11%E -4.20%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 06:00 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -15.77%E -6.00%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-21 06:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.16% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.93% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.91% | 16.0% | 2026-04-20 11:20 |