La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Operario PR v Fortaleza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Operario PR (Local)
Predicción 37.45%2.67momio equitativo
EV -4.86%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.11%37.51%37.46%40.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.402.402.5445.45%41.67%41.67%39.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fortaleza (Visitante)
Predicción 30.52%3.28momio equitativo
EV +5.29%
Ventaja +1.53%
Kelly +2.16%
Crecimiento +0.114%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.00%30.31%30.48%31.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.113.103.4535.71%32.16%32.26%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.03%3.12momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.97%32.18%32.06%34.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.852.883.0038.46%35.11%34.78%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -14.60%E -6.40%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -15.73%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV +3.76%E +1.11%K +1.57%G +0.059% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -16.48%E -7.39%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV +2.24%E +0.667%K +0.951%G +0.021% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -16.48%E -7.39%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV +2.24%E +0.667%K +0.951%G +0.021% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.26%EV -4.86%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.76%EV -2.95%E -0.929%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.98%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.85%EV -4.78%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.91%EV -9.36%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.94%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.94%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.74%EV -9.36%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Bovada | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 15:41 |
| BetUS | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 02:34 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 07:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 07:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 07:14 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 07:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -16.73%E -6.43%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 21:03 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 15:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 11:55 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 06:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 37.54%EV -10.48%E -4.39%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 14:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 11:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 21:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 21:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.86%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-20 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -12.11%E -4.20%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 12:48 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.11%E -4.20%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 06:00 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -15.77%E -6.00%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-21 06:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.16% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.93% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.91% | 16.0% | 2026-04-20 11:20 |