مدرسة الاحتمالات

Operario PR v Fortaleza

البداية: 2026-04-26 21:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Operario PR (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.45%2.67السعر العادل
EV -4.86%
الأفضلية -1.92%
Kelly -3.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.11%37.51%37.46%40.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.402.402.5445.45%41.67%41.67%39.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fortaleza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.52%3.28السعر العادل
EV +5.29%
الأفضلية +1.53%
Kelly +2.16%
النمو +0.114%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.00%30.31%30.48%31.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.113.103.4535.71%32.16%32.26%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.03%3.12السعر العادل
EV -3.92%
الأفضلية -1.31%
Kelly -1.96%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.97%32.18%32.06%34.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.852.883.0038.46%35.11%34.78%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:10
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:09
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:10
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -14.60%E -6.40%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV +5.29%E +1.53%K +2.16%G +0.114%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:09
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -15.73%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV +3.76%E +1.11%K +1.57%G +0.059%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -16.48%E -7.39%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV +2.24%E +0.667%K +0.951%G +0.021%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 22:09
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -16.48%E -7.39%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV +2.24%E +0.667%K +0.951%G +0.021%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 22:09
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:10
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:10
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -17.60%E -8.00%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:10
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 37.26%EV -4.86%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.76%EV -2.95%E -0.929%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.98%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 12:20
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.85%EV -4.78%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.91%EV -9.36%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 01:39
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.94%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.94%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:30
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.74%EV -9.36%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:35
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 15:41
BetUS2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 02:34
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 07:09
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 07:14
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 07:14
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 07:09
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -16.73%E -6.43%K -10.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:10
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:05
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:03
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:44
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:45
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 00:14
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 11:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 06:04
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-24 00:15
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:09
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 37.54%EV -10.48%E -4.39%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 14:30
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 11:54
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 21:04
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 21:10
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.86%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 11:20
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -12.11%E -4.20%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -7.12%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 12:48
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.11%E -4.20%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 06:00
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -7.76%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 12:59
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.08%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -15.77%E -6.00%K -9.67%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-21 06:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (1)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 37.16%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.93%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.91%16.0%2026-04-20 11:20