Language:English
Operario PR v Criciuma
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Operario PR (Local)
Prediction 43.14%2.32fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.07%43.22%43.12%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.172.162.2850.76%46.16%46.30%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Criciuma (Visit)
Prediction 25.52%3.92fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.609%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.71%25.43%25.55%27.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.553.603.8530.30%28.19%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.33%3.19fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.923%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.28%31.35%31.32%32.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.26%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Operario PR (Local): 43.14%; Criciuma (Visit): 25.52%; Draw: 31.33%. For Operario PR (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -3.79%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -3.79%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.78%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.15%EV -2.25%E -0.586%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%EV -2.86%E -0.923%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.23%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.23%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.23%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -1.74%E -0.451%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -10.38%E -3.63%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 23:28 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.55%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.55%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.86%E -0.923%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.52%EV -7.88%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.49%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 23:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.60%EV -8.97%E -4.25%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 23:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-24 23:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.74%EV -15.01%E -7.62%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.01%E -0.792%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.80% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.80% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.09% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93% | 2.7% | 2026-05-24 23:30 |