La escuela de los momios

Operario PR v Criciuma

Inicio: 2026-05-24 23:32 UTC

Final: Operario PR 1–1 Criciuma

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Predicción 43.14%2.32momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.718%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.07%43.22%43.12%45.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.172.162.2850.76%46.16%46.30%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Criciuma (Visitante)

Predicción 25.52%3.92momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.451%
Kelly -0.609%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.71%25.43%25.55%27.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.553.603.8530.30%28.19%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.33%3.19momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -0.923%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.28%31.35%31.32%32.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.26%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -3.79%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -3.79%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.78%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.15%EV -2.25%E -0.586%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%EV -2.86%E -0.923%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 23:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 23:29
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 23:29
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 23:30
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 23:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 23:29
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 23:29
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.23%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 23:30
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.23%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 23:30
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.23%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 23:30
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -1.74%E -0.451%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -10.38%E -3.63%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 23:29
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 23:28
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 23:30
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.55%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 23:30
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.55%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 23:30
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.86%E -0.923%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 23:30
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 23:30
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 23:30
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 23:30
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.52%EV -7.88%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 23:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 23:29
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 23:29
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 23:30
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 23:29
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.49%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 23:28
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 43.60%EV -8.97%E -4.25%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 23:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 23:28
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 23:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-24 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 23:29
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 23:29
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 23:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 23:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 23:30
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.74%EV -15.01%E -7.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.01%E -0.792%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 23:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%1.1%2026-05-24 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%1.1%2026-05-24 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.80%1.4%2026-05-24 23:30
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.80%1.4%2026-05-24 23:30
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93%2.7%2026-05-24 23:30