L’École des cotes

Operario PR v Criciuma

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 23:32 UTC

Score final : Operario PR 1–1 Criciuma

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Prévision 43.14%2.32cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.718%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.07%43.22%43.12%45.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.172.162.2850.76%46.16%46.30%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Criciuma (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.52%3.92cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.451%
Kelly -0.609%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.71%25.43%25.55%27.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.603.8530.30%28.19%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.33%3.19cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.923%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.28%31.35%31.32%32.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.26%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -1.64%E -0.718%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -3.79%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -3.79%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 23:30
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.78%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.15%EV -2.25%E -0.586%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%EV -2.86%E -0.923%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 23:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 23:29
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 23:29
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 23:30
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 23:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 23:29
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 23:29
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.23%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 23:30
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.23%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 23:30
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.23%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 23:30
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -1.74%E -0.451%K -0.609%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -10.38%E -3.63%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 23:29
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 23:28
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.70%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 23:30
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.55%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 23:30
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.55%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 23:30
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.86%E -0.923%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 23:30
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 23:30
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 23:30
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 23:30
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.52%EV -7.88%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 23:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 23:29
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 23:29
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 23:30
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 23:29
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.49%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 23:28
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 43.60%EV -8.97%E -4.25%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 23:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 23:28
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 23:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-24 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 23:29
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 23:29
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.83%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 23:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.00%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 23:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -9.76%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 23:30
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.74%EV -15.01%E -7.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.01%E -0.792%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 23:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%1.1%2026-05-24 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%1.1%2026-05-24 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.80%1.4%2026-05-24 23:30
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.80%1.4%2026-05-24 23:30
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.93%2.7%2026-05-24 23:30