Language:English
Operario PR v Atletico Goianiense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Operario PR (Local)
Prediction 48.36%2.07fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.658%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.99%48.45%48.29%50.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.911.912.0456.50%52.22%52.36%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Goianiense (Visit)
Prediction 22.49%4.45fair odd
EV +4.15%
Edge +0.896%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 4.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.02%22.37%22.59%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.044.004.6327.03%24.77%25.00%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.14%3.43fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.48%29.18%29.12%30.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.143.153.2533.33%31.85%31.75%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Operario PR (Local): 48.36%; Atletico Goianiense (Visit): 22.49%; Draw: 29.14%. For Atletico Goianiense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.69%EV -6.66%E -3.45%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.71%EV +4.15%E +0.896%K +1.14%G +0.047% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -5.57%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -14.40%E -8.14%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.22%E +0.272%K +0.349%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -2.15%E -0.495%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 21:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.95%EV -10.05%E -5.40%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -2.60%E -0.601%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -8.60%E -4.55%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.67%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.91%EV -5.86%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -12.95%E -7.19%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.83%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 21:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -11.50%E -6.28%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 21:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -8.90%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -8.90%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.66%E -3.45%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 21:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.30%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -11.15%E -2.82%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -12.27%E -3.15%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.10%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -12.27%E -3.15%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.08%EV -6.66%E -3.45%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -13.40%E -3.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -13.40%E -3.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.34%E -0.658%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 21:13 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.34%E -0.658%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 21:13 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -15.65%E -4.17%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -15.65%E -4.17%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -16.77%E -4.53%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 21:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -16.77%E -4.53%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -16.77%E -4.53%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.59% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.06% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |