La escuela de los momios

Operario PR v Atletico Goianiense

Inicio: 2026-03-21 21:17 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Predicción 48.36%2.07momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.658%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.99%48.45%48.29%50.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.911.912.0456.50%52.22%52.36%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atletico Goianiense (Visitante)

Predicción 22.49%4.45momio equitativo
EV +4.15%
Ventaja +0.896%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.047%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.02%22.37%22.59%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.044.004.6327.03%24.77%25.00%21.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.14%3.43momio equitativo
EV -5.28%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.48%29.18%29.12%30.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.143.153.2533.33%31.85%31.75%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.69%EV -6.66%E -3.45%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.71%EV +4.15%E +0.896%K +1.14%G +0.047%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -5.57%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 21:14
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -14.40%E -8.14%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.22%E +0.272%K +0.349%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 21:15
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -2.15%E -0.495%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 21:13
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 49.95%EV -10.05%E -5.40%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -2.60%E -0.601%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 21:14
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -8.60%E -4.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.67%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.91%EV -5.86%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 21:14
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 21:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 21:14
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 21:14
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 21:14
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 21:14
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 21:14
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -12.95%E -7.19%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 21:15
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.83%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 21:14
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 21:13
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 21:14
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -11.50%E -6.28%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 21:13
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -8.90%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 21:14
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -8.90%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 21:14
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:14
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:14
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:14
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:14
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.66%E -3.45%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 21:13
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 21:15
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 21:14
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 21:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 21:15
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 21:15
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 21:14
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 21:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 21:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 21:14
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.30%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -11.15%E -2.82%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 21:04
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -12.27%E -3.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 21:15
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.10%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -12.27%E -3.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 21:14
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.08%EV -6.66%E -3.45%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -13.40%E -3.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 21:14
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -13.40%E -3.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 21:14
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.34%E -0.658%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 21:13
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.34%E -0.658%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 21:13
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -15.65%E -4.17%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 21:15
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -15.65%E -4.17%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -16.77%E -4.53%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 21:13
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -16.77%E -4.53%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 21:15
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -16.77%E -4.53%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 21:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-21 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-21 21:15
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-21 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-03-21 21:14
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.59%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.06%2.4%2026-03-21 21:15