L’École des cotes

Operario PR v Atletico Goianiense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 21:17 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Prévision 48.36%2.07cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.658%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.99%48.45%48.29%50.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.911.912.0456.50%52.22%52.36%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.49%4.45cote équitable
EV +4.15%
Avantage +0.896%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 4.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.02%22.37%22.59%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.044.004.6327.03%24.77%25.00%21.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.14%3.43cote équitable
EV -5.28%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.48%29.18%29.12%30.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.143.153.2533.33%31.85%31.75%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.69%EV -6.66%E -3.45%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.71%EV +4.15%E +0.896%K +1.14%G +0.047%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -5.57%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 21:14
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -14.40%E -8.14%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.22%E +0.272%K +0.349%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 21:15
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -2.15%E -0.495%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 21:13
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 49.95%EV -10.05%E -5.40%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -2.60%E -0.601%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 21:14
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -8.60%E -4.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.67%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.91%EV -5.86%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 21:14
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 21:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 21:14
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 21:14
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 21:14
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 21:14
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 21:14
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -12.95%E -7.19%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 21:15
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.83%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 21:14
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 21:13
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 21:14
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -11.50%E -6.28%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -7.77%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 21:13
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -8.90%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 21:14
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -8.90%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 21:14
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:14
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:14
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:14
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:14
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.66%E -3.45%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 21:13
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 21:15
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 21:14
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 21:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 21:15
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 21:15
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 21:14
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 21:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 21:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.02%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 21:14
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.30%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -11.15%E -2.82%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 21:04
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -12.27%E -3.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 21:15
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.10%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -12.27%E -3.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 21:14
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.08%EV -6.66%E -3.45%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -13.40%E -3.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 21:14
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -13.40%E -3.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 21:14
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.34%E -0.658%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 21:13
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.34%E -0.658%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -14.52%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 21:13
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -15.65%E -4.17%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 21:15
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -15.65%E -4.17%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -16.77%E -4.53%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 21:13
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -16.77%E -4.53%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 21:15
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -16.77%E -4.53%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 21:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-21 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-21 21:15
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-21 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-03-21 21:14
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.59%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.06%2.4%2026-03-21 21:15