Language:English
Nautico PE v Operario PR
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nautico PE (Local)
Prediction 48.12%2.08fair odd
EV -5.68%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -5.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.68%48.13%48.14%49.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.901.911.9655.25%52.58%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Operario PR (Visit)
Prediction 23.88%4.19fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.346%
Kelly +0.452%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.61%23.89%23.89%25.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.843.804.2527.78%26.05%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.00%3.57fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.800%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%27.98%27.97%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.43%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nautico PE (Local): 48.12%; Operario PR (Visit): 23.88%; Draw: 28.00%. For Operario PR (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.04%EV -5.68%E -2.90%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.61%EV +1.47%E +0.346%K +0.452%G +0.007% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.35%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -6.64%E -3.42%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.11%E -0.515%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -6.64%E -3.42%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.11%E -0.515%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.05%EV -8.16%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.47%EV -7.12%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.84%EV -5.92%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -9.04%E -4.79%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -10.01%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.00%E -0.571%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -10.01%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.01%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -10.01%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.74%EV -12.41%E -6.82%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -12.89%E -7.12%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 22:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |