Langue:Français
Nautico PE v Operario PR
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nautico PE (Local)
Prévision 48.12%2.08cote équitable
EV -5.68%
Avantage -2.90%
Kelly -5.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.68%48.13%48.14%49.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.811.901.911.9655.25%52.58%52.36%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Operario PR (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.88%4.19cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.346%
Kelly +0.452%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.61%23.89%23.89%25.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.843.804.2527.78%26.05%26.32%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.00%3.57cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -0.800%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.80%27.98%27.97%29.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.43%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nautico PE (Local) : 48.12% ; Operario PR (Visiteur) : 23.88% ; Match nul : 28.00%. Pour Operario PR (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.19. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.25, soit une espérance positive de +1.47%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.04%EV -5.68%E -2.90%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.61%EV +1.47%E +0.346%K +0.452%G +0.007% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.35%EV -5.08%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -6.64%E -3.42%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.11%E -0.515%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -6.64%E -3.42%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.11%E -0.515%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.05%EV -8.16%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.47%EV -7.12%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.84%EV -5.92%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -9.04%E -4.79%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -10.01%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.00%E -0.571%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -10.01%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.01%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -10.01%E -5.35%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.93%E -6.52%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -7.60%E -3.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.74%EV -12.41%E -6.82%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -12.89%E -7.12%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.08%E -4.23%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 22:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -8.56%E -4.51%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |