Language:English
Nautico PE v Goiás
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nautico PE (Local)
Prediction 49.73%2.01fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -4.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.17%49.68%49.76%50.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.861.851.9257.80%53.76%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goiás (Visit)
Prediction 22.80%4.39fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.460%
Kelly -0.599%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.32%22.91%22.76%24.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.944.004.3027.78%25.40%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.55%27.41%27.48%28.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.333.5333.33%30.00%30.08%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nautico PE (Local): 49.73%; Goiás (Visit): 22.80%; Draw: 27.48%. For Goiás (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -1.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.50%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -1.98%E -0.460%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.18%EV -3.00%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 19:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.51%E -4.04%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-28 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.68%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.68%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-28 14:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -15.66%E -4.23%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.17%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -16.80%E -4.60%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 21:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-28 17:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-28 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-28 12:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.23%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -16.80%E -4.60%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -17.94%E -4.98%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -17.94%E -4.98%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -17.94%E -4.98%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 21:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -13.97%E -8.08%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-06-28 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |