L’École des cotesFrançais
Nautico PE v Goiás
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nautico PE (Local)
Prévision 49.73%2.01cote équitable
EV -4.53%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -4.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.17%49.68%49.76%50.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.861.851.9257.80%53.76%54.05%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Goiás (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.80%4.39cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.460%
Kelly -0.599%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.32%22.91%22.76%24.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.944.004.3027.78%25.40%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -0.850%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.55%27.41%27.48%28.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.333.5333.33%30.00%30.08%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.50%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -1.98%E -0.460%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.18%EV -3.00%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| BetUS | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 19:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 17:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.51%E -4.04%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-28 14:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.68%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 14:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.68%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-28 14:19 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -15.66%E -4.23%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.17%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -16.80%E -4.60%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Bovada | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 21:18 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-28 17:18 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-28 14:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-28 12:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.23%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -16.80%E -4.60%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -17.94%E -4.98%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -17.94%E -4.98%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -17.94%E -4.98%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 18:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 21:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -13.97%E -8.08%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-06-28 17:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |