La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Nautico PE v Goiás
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nautico PE (Local)
Predicción 49.73%2.01momio equitativo
EV -4.53%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -4.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.17%49.68%49.76%50.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.861.851.9257.80%53.76%54.05%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Goiás (Visitante)
Predicción 22.80%4.39momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.460%
Kelly -0.599%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.32%22.91%22.76%24.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.944.004.3027.78%25.40%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -0.850%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.55%27.41%27.48%28.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.333.333.5333.33%30.00%30.08%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.50%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -1.98%E -0.460%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.18%EV -3.00%E -0.850%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| BetUS | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.52%E -2.91%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 19:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 17:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.51%E -4.04%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-28 14:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.68%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 14:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.68%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-28 14:19 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -15.66%E -4.23%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.17%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -16.80%E -4.60%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Bovada | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 21:18 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-28 17:18 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-28 14:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-28 12:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.23%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -16.80%E -4.60%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -17.94%E -4.98%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -17.94%E -4.98%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -17.94%E -4.98%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 18:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 21:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -13.97%E -8.08%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-06-28 17:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |