语言:简体中文
Nautico PE v Ceará
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Nautico PE (主队)
预测 40.76%2.45公平赔率
EV -4.21%
优势 -1.79%
Kelly -3.12%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
39.66%40.79%40.74%43.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.222.252.3549.02%44.98%44.44%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ceará (客队)
预测 28.29%3.54公平赔率
EV -1.000%
优势 -0.286%
Kelly -0.400%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.57%28.31%28.20%30.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.32%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.95%3.23公平赔率
EV -4.04%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -1.93%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.00%30.90%31.06%31.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.882.982.953.1034.72%33.55%33.90%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Nautico PE (主队)：40.76%；Ceará (客队)：28.29%；平局：30.95%。 对于“Ceará (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.54。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.50，期望值为-1.000%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.96%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.48%EV -6.66%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -7.07%E -3.10%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.80%EV -7.88%E -3.49%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -13.59%E -6.41%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 20:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.99%EV -15.22%E -7.32%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-17 20:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -15.63%E -7.55%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 21:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.83%EV -16.03%E -7.78%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -16.85%E -8.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-17 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -16.85%E -8.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-17 20:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |