Langue:Français
Nautico PE v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nautico PE (Local)
Prévision 40.76%2.45cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -3.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.66%40.79%40.74%43.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.222.252.3549.02%44.98%44.44%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.29%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.000%
Avantage -0.286%
Kelly -0.400%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.57%28.31%28.20%30.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.32%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.95%3.23cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.00%30.90%31.06%31.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.882.982.953.1034.72%33.55%33.90%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nautico PE (Local) : 40.76% ; Ceará (Visiteur) : 28.29% ; Match nul : 30.95%. Pour Ceará (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.54. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -1.000% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.96%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.48%EV -6.66%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -7.07%E -3.10%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.80%EV -7.88%E -3.49%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -13.59%E -6.41%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 20:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.99%EV -15.22%E -7.32%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-17 20:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -15.63%E -7.55%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 21:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.83%EV -16.03%E -7.78%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -16.85%E -8.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-17 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -16.85%E -8.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-17 20:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |