StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nautico PE v Ceará

Matchstart: 2026-08-19 00:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Nautico PE 1–0 Ceará

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nautico PE (Hemma)

Prognos 40.76%2.45rättvist odds
EV -4.21%
Fördel -1.79%
Kelly -3.12%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.66%40.79%40.74%43.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.042.222.252.3549.02%44.98%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ceará (Borta)

Prognos 28.29%3.54rättvist odds
EV -1.000%
Fördel -0.286%
Kelly -0.400%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.57%28.31%28.20%30.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.32%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.95%3.23rättvist odds
EV -4.04%
Fördel -1.30%
Kelly -1.93%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.00%30.90%31.06%31.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.882.982.953.1034.72%33.55%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nautico PE (Hemma): 40.76%; Ceará (Borta): 28.29%; Oavgjort: 30.95%. För Ceará (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.54. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.50, med väntevärdet -1.000%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.96%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:25
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 00:15
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 00:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 00:25
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 00:20
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 00:15
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-19 00:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 00:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-19 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.48%EV -6.66%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 00:25
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -7.07%E -3.10%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 00:25
Bovada🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.80%EV -7.88%E -3.49%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-19 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 00:19
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 00:20
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 00:20
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 00:20
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 00:25
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-19 00:20
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-19 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-19 00:15
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-19 00:19
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-19 00:15
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 23:55
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 23:55
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -11.96%E -5.54%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.000%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 23:55
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -13.59%E -6.41%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 20:59
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.99%EV -15.22%E -7.32%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-17 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -15.63%E -7.55%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -8.69%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 21:00
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.83%EV -16.03%E -7.78%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-18 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -16.85%E -8.26%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-17 20:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -16.85%E -8.26%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-17 20:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-08-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-08-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-08-19 00:25
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%0.6%2026-08-19 00:25
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-19 00:25