StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nautico PE v Botafogo-SP

Matchstart: 2026-09-03 23:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Nautico PE 1–0 Botafogo-SP

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nautico PE (Hemma)

Prognos 47.88%2.09rättvist odds
EV -4.72%
Fördel -2.37%
Kelly -4.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.99

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.40%47.82%47.85%49.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.821.911.911.9954.95%52.37%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Botafogo-SP (Borta)

Prognos 23.00%4.35rättvist odds
EV +4.67%
Fördel +1.03%
Kelly +1.32%
Tillväxt +0.061%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.55%22.97%23.11%24.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.703.984.004.5527.03%25.14%25.00%21.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.11%3.43rättvist odds
EV -2.47%
Fördel -0.737%
Kelly -1.05%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.22%29.21%29.05%30.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.163.123.3533.33%31.63%32.05%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nautico PE (Hemma): 47.88%; Botafogo-SP (Borta): 23.00%; Oavgjort: 29.11%. För Botafogo-SP (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.35. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.55, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.67%.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.55%EV +4.67%E +1.03%K +1.32%G +0.061%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -10.04%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.73%EV -5.67%E -2.88%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.17%EV -0.390%E -0.090%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -1.08%E -0.251%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:55
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%EV -7.59%E -3.93%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 22:58
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.26%EV -4.72%E -2.37%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 22:59
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 22:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -9.16%E -2.94%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 22:59
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 22:58
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -7.59%E -3.93%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 22:38
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 22:25
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 22:25
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -5.20%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 22:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 22:35
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 22:49
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 22:49
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 22:25
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.83%EV -9.16%E -2.94%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 22:53
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.83%EV -9.16%E -2.94%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 22:53
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 22:35
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.36%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-03 22:25
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -7.59%E -3.93%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.21%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-03 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -12.38%E -6.76%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 22:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.03%EV -12.86%E -7.06%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.31%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-03 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.03%EV -12.86%E -7.06%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.31%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-03 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 22:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 22:35
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 22:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-09-03 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-09-03 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-09-03 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-09-03 22:35
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-09-03 22:35