Lingua:Italiano
Nautico PE v Botafogo-SP
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Nautico PE (Casa)
Previsione 47.88%2.09quota equa
EV -4.72%
Vantaggio -2.37%
Kelly -4.76%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.99
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.40%47.82%47.85%49.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.821.911.911.9954.95%52.37%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Botafogo-SP (Trasferta)
Previsione 23.00%4.35quota equa
EV +4.67%
Vantaggio +1.03%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescita +0.061%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.55%22.97%23.11%24.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.703.984.004.5527.03%25.14%25.00%21.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 29.11%3.43quota equa
EV -2.47%
Vantaggio -0.737%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.22%29.21%29.05%30.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.163.123.3533.33%31.63%32.05%29.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Nautico PE (Casa): 47.88%; Botafogo-SP (Trasferta): 23.00%; Pareggio: 29.11%. Per Botafogo-SP (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.35. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.55, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.67%.
Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.55%EV +4.67%E +1.03%K +1.32%G +0.061% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -10.04%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.73%EV -5.67%E -2.88%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.17%EV -0.390%E -0.090%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -1.08%E -0.251%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.47%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%EV -7.59%E -3.93%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 22:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.26%EV -4.72%E -2.37%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -9.16%E -2.94%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 22:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -7.59%E -3.93%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 22:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -5.20%E -2.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 22:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -9.98%E -5.31%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.83%EV -9.16%E -2.94%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 22:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -10.46%E -5.59%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.83%EV -9.16%E -2.94%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 22:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.36%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -7.59%E -3.93%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -6.83%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.21%EV -11.42%E -6.17%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -12.38%E -6.76%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-03 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.03%EV -12.86%E -7.06%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.31%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.03%EV -12.86%E -7.06%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.31%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.55%E -4.47%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.75%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |