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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Londrina v Sport Recife

开赛时间： 2026-04-04 23:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Londrina (主队)

预测 40.22%2.49公平赔率
EV -2.67%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -1.88%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.42

博彩公司预测分布
38.63%40.33%40.19%42.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.302.302.4247.62%43.54%43.48%41.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sport Recife (客队)

预测 29.04%3.44公平赔率
EV +0.191%
优势 +0.055%
Kelly +0.078%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.45

博彩公司预测分布
26.51%28.89%29.06%30.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.13%31.25%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.74%3.25公平赔率
EV -4.70%
优势 -1.52%
Kelly -2.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
29.61%30.78%30.75%32.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.013.003.1035.09%33.23%33.33%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Londrina (主队)：40.22%；Sport Recife (客队)：29.04%；平局：30.74%。 对于“Sport Recife (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.44。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.45，对应+0.191%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.26%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV +0.191%E +0.055%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.86%EV -7.16%E -2.37%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -1.26%E -0.371%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 22:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -1.26%E -0.371%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 22:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -15.54%E -7.40%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -1.26%E -0.371%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 22:40
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 20:09
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -5.33%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -8.70%E -2.93%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 20:14
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.62%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.15%EV -7.10%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.23%EV -8.70%E -2.93%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 20:14
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 22:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 20:30
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 23:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -10.31%E -4.63%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -10.31%E -4.63%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 23:00
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.70%E -2.89%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.70%E -2.89%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 20:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 18:45
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 18:45
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 22:40
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 22:43
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 22:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 23:09
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 22:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.25%0.0%2026-04-04 23:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.4%2026-04-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.4%2026-04-04 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.4%2026-04-04 22:50
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%2.6%2026-04-04 22:39