La scuola delle quote

Londrina v Sport Recife

Inizio: 2026-04-04 23:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Londrina (Casa)

Previsione 40.22%2.49quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.63%40.33%40.19%42.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.302.302.4247.62%43.54%43.48%41.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sport Recife (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.04%3.44quota equa
EV +0.191%
Vantaggio +0.055%
Kelly +0.078%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.51%28.89%29.06%30.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.13%31.25%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.74%3.25quota equa
EV -4.70%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -2.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.61%30.78%30.75%32.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.013.003.1035.09%33.23%33.33%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.26%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV +0.191%E +0.055%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.86%EV -7.16%E -2.37%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -1.26%E -0.371%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 22:19
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -1.26%E -0.371%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 22:19
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -15.54%E -7.40%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -1.26%E -0.371%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 22:25
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 22:40
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 20:09
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -5.33%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -8.70%E -2.93%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 20:14
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.62%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.15%EV -7.10%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.23%EV -8.70%E -2.93%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 20:14
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 22:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 20:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 23:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -10.31%E -4.63%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -10.31%E -4.63%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 23:00
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.70%E -2.89%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 17:00
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.70%E -2.89%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 17:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 20:09
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 18:45
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 18:45
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.52%E -2.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 18:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 22:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 22:43
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 22:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 22:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 22:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:40
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 23:09
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 22:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.25%0.0%2026-04-04 23:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.4%2026-04-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.4%2026-04-04 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.4%2026-04-04 22:50
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%2.6%2026-04-04 22:39