Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.80
assuming max odds 2.83
assuming max odds 3.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Londrina (Local): 35.29%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 34.86%; Draw: 29.84%. For Londrina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -4.71%E -1.75%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -15.28%E -6.29%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.95%EV -5.42%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.04%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.01%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.12%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.12%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.01%E -0.925%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -11.96%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -16.33%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -17.02%E -7.15%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -17.02%E -7.15%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.40%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.10%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -9.27%E -3.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -6.57%E -2.45%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 03:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -6.57%E -2.45%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 09:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-03 12:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-03 12:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 07:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 04:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-03 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -18.07%E -7.69%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-04 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -18.07%E -7.69%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-04 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%EV -9.30%E -3.62%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%EV -9.30%E -3.62%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.01%E -3.92%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-03 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-03 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-03 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-03 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-01 03:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.07% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |