L’École des cotes

Londrina v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 19:00 UTC

Score final : Londrina 5–0 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Londrina (Local)

Prévision 35.29%2.83cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.422%
Kelly -0.657%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.39%35.21%35.30%36.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.632.622.8040.00%37.96%38.17%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.86%2.87cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.472%
Kelly -0.730%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.82%35.00%34.69%37.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.592.602.8342.55%38.62%38.46%35.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.84%3.35cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -0.925%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.69%29.80%30.01%30.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.093.103.2533.90%32.35%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -4.71%E -1.75%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -15.28%E -6.29%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 18:25
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.95%EV -5.42%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.04%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.01%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.12%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 18:40
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.12%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 18:40
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 18:45
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.01%E -0.925%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 11:40
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:20
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:19
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 19:00
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -11.96%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 18:55
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -16.33%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-04 18:25
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -17.02%E -7.15%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-04 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -17.02%E -7.15%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-04 18:25
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 18:50
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 17:05
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.40%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.10%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -9.27%E -3.05%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 18:45
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -6.57%E -2.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 03:59
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -6.57%E -2.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 09:09
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:35
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:35
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:35
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-03 12:45
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-03 12:50
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 07:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 04:04
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 17:20
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-03 12:50
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -18.07%E -7.69%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-04 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -18.07%E -7.69%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-04 18:15
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%EV -9.30%E -3.62%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:45
BetUS2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%EV -9.30%E -3.62%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:45
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.01%E -3.92%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 18:55
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 17:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-03 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-03 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-03 19:05
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-03 19:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-01 03:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.07%0.8%2026-07-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-07-04 18:55