A Escola das Odds

Londrina v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Início: 2026-07-04 19:00 UTC

Final: Londrina 5–0 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Londrina (Local)

Previsão 35.29%2.83odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.422%
Kelly -0.657%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.39%35.21%35.30%36.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.632.622.8040.00%37.96%38.17%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)

Previsão 34.86%2.87odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.472%
Kelly -0.730%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.82%35.00%34.69%37.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.592.602.8342.55%38.62%38.46%35.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.84%3.35odd justa
EV -3.01%
Vantagem -0.925%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.69%29.80%30.01%30.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.093.103.2533.90%32.35%32.26%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.18%E -0.422%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:25
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -4.71%E -1.75%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -15.28%E -6.29%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 18:25
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.95%EV -5.42%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.04%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.01%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.12%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 18:40
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -6.12%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 18:40
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.99%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 18:45
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.01%E -0.925%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 11:40
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:20
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:19
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 19:00
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -11.96%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 18:55
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -16.33%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-04 18:25
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -17.02%E -7.15%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-04 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -6.48%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -17.02%E -7.15%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-04 18:25
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -4.47%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 18:50
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 17:05
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.40%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.10%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -9.27%E -3.05%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 18:45
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -6.57%E -2.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 03:59
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -6.57%E -2.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 09:09
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:35
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:35
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:35
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-03 12:45
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.50%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-03 12:50
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 07:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 04:04
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 17:20
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-03 12:50
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -18.07%E -7.69%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-04 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -8.24%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -18.07%E -7.69%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-04 18:15
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%EV -9.30%E -3.62%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:45
BetUS2.57I 38.91%NM 35.87%EV -9.30%E -3.62%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:45
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.01%E -3.92%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 18:55
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 17:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-03 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-03 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-03 19:05
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.48%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-03 19:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.77%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.47%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-01 03:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.07%0.8%2026-07-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-07-04 18:55