A Escola das Odds

Londrina v Ceará

Início: 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

Final: Londrina 0–0 Ceará

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Londrina (Local)

Previsão 31.41%3.18odd justa
EV -0.441%
Vantagem -0.139%
Kelly -0.203%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.17%31.43%31.38%34.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.862.883.1738.46%34.99%34.72%31.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ceará (Visitante)

Previsão 38.48%2.60odd justa
EV +3.89%
Vantagem +1.44%
Kelly +2.29%
Crescimento +0.089%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.71%38.44%38.55%40.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.482.412.7045.45%40.36%41.49%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.11%3.32odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -0.655%
Kelly -0.946%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.78%30.12%30.08%31.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.043.053.2536.36%32.93%32.79%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -13.63%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV +1.97%E +0.743%K +1.19%G +0.024%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 18:25
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -16.77%E -6.33%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV +1.20%E +0.456%K +0.736%G +0.009%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -16.77%E -6.33%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV +1.20%E +0.456%K +0.736%G +0.009%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 18:55
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -17.40%E -6.62%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -18.34%E -7.06%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 18:55
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -18.34%E -7.06%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 18:55
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -18.34%E -7.06%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 18:55
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:35
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:35
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.41%EV -0.441%E -0.139%K -0.203%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.18%EV -5.34%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.41%EV -4.54%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 18:45
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.14%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:50
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.14%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:35
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 18:34
1xBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -7.27%E -3.01%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 18:55
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -2.13%E -0.655%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 18:35
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.35%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 18:40
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -5.15%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -9.05%E -3.00%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 18:55
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.41%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:40
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.41%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:35
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -9.86%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:35
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.49%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 18:35
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.56%EV -8.03%E -3.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:53
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 18:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 18:54
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 18:55
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 18:55
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:35
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:35
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.57%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 18:35
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 18:39
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 18:35
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -2.64%E -0.852%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -13.42%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -17.19%E -6.25%K -9.82%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-04-19 18:45
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%2.6%2026-04-19 18:50