L’École des cotesFrançais
Londrina v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Londrina (Local)
Prévision 31.41%3.18cote équitable
EV -0.441%
Avantage -0.139%
Kelly -0.203%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.17%31.43%31.38%34.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.862.883.1738.46%34.99%34.72%31.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.48%2.60cote équitable
EV +3.89%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +2.29%
Croissance +0.089%
avec la cote maximale 2.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.71%38.44%38.55%40.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.482.412.7045.45%40.36%41.49%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.11%3.32cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.655%
Kelly -0.946%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.78%30.12%30.08%31.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.043.053.2536.36%32.93%32.79%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -13.63%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV +1.97%E +0.743%K +1.19%G +0.024% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -16.77%E -6.33%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV +1.20%E +0.456%K +0.736%G +0.009% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -16.77%E -6.33%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV +1.20%E +0.456%K +0.736%G +0.009% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -17.40%E -6.62%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -18.34%E -7.06%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -18.34%E -7.06%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -18.34%E -7.06%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.41%EV -0.441%E -0.139%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.18%EV -5.34%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.41%EV -4.54%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.14%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.14%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 18:34 |
| 1xBet | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -7.27%E -3.01%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -2.13%E -0.655%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.35%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -5.15%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -9.05%E -3.00%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.41%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.41%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -9.86%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.49%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.56%EV -8.03%E -3.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:53 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.57%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 18:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -2.64%E -0.852%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -13.42%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -17.19%E -6.25%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 2.6% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |