مدرسة الاحتمالات

Londrina v Ceará

البداية: 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Londrina 0–0 Ceará

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

41 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Londrina (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.41%3.18السعر العادل
EV -0.441%
الأفضلية -0.139%
Kelly -0.203%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.17%31.43%31.38%34.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.862.883.1738.46%34.99%34.72%31.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ceará (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.48%2.60السعر العادل
EV +3.89%
الأفضلية +1.44%
Kelly +2.29%
النمو +0.089%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.71%38.44%38.55%40.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.482.412.7045.45%40.36%41.49%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.11%3.32السعر العادل
EV -2.13%
الأفضلية -0.655%
Kelly -0.946%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.78%30.12%30.08%31.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.043.053.2536.36%32.93%32.79%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +3.89%E +1.44%K +2.29%G +0.089%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 18:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -13.63%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV +1.97%E +0.743%K +1.19%G +0.024%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 18:25
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -16.77%E -6.33%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV +1.20%E +0.456%K +0.736%G +0.009%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -16.77%E -6.33%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV +1.20%E +0.456%K +0.736%G +0.009%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 18:55
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -17.40%E -6.62%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -18.34%E -7.06%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 18:55
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -18.34%E -7.06%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 18:55
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -18.34%E -7.06%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 18:55
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:35
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:35
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.41%EV -0.441%E -0.139%K -0.203%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.18%EV -5.34%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.41%EV -4.54%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 18:45
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.14%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:50
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.14%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:35
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 18:34
1xBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -7.27%E -3.01%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 18:55
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -2.13%E -0.655%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 18:35
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.35%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 18:40
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -5.15%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -9.05%E -3.00%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 18:55
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.41%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:40
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.41%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:35
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -9.86%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:35
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.49%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 18:35
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.56%EV -8.03%E -3.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:53
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 18:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 18:54
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 18:55
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 18:55
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:35
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:35
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.57%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 18:35
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -6.65%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 18:39
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 18:35
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -2.64%E -0.852%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -13.42%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.16%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -17.19%E -6.25%K -9.82%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-19 18:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-04-19 18:45
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%2.6%2026-04-19 18:50