Language:English
Juventude v Criciuma
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juventude (Local)
Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.02%38.44%38.10%41.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.382.5345.45%42.36%42.02%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Criciuma (Visit)
Prediction 29.63%3.37fair odd
EV +0.744%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.310%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.34%29.45%29.71%30.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.153.4034.48%31.61%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.22%3.10fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -0.837%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.74%32.11%32.19%32.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.882.883.0538.02%34.76%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 38.14%; Criciuma (Visit): 29.63%; Draw: 32.22%. For Criciuma (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.744%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -1.72%E -0.562%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.94%E -6.70%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.94%E -6.70%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.03%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.79%EV -4.29%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.12%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -5.90%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.12%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -5.90%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.13%E -3.24%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.13%E -3.24%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -7.55%E -2.42%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -8.48%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.59%EV -8.80%E -3.11%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 00:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 23:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -15.25%E -5.80%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.36% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |