语言:简体中文
Juventude v Criciuma
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Juventude (主队)
预测 38.14%2.62公平赔率
EV -3.49%
优势 -1.38%
Kelly -2.28%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.53
博彩公司预测分布
37.02%38.44%38.10%41.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.362.382.5345.45%42.36%42.02%39.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
Criciuma (客队)
预测 29.63%3.37公平赔率
EV +0.744%
优势 +0.219%
Kelly +0.310%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.34%29.45%29.71%30.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.163.153.4034.48%31.61%31.75%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 32.22%3.10公平赔率
EV -1.72%
优势 -0.562%
Kelly -0.837%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.05
博彩公司预测分布
30.74%32.11%32.19%32.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.882.883.0538.02%34.76%34.72%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Juventude (主队)：38.14%；Criciuma (客队)：29.63%；平局：32.22%。 对于“Criciuma (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.37。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.40，对应+0.744%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -1.72%E -0.562%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.94%E -6.70%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.94%E -6.70%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.03%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.79%EV -4.29%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.12%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -5.90%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.12%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -5.90%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.13%E -3.24%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.13%E -3.24%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -7.55%E -2.42%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -8.48%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.59%EV -8.80%E -3.11%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 00:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 23:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -15.25%E -5.80%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.36% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |