La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Juventude v Criciuma
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Juventude (Local)
Predicción 38.14%2.62momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.02%38.44%38.10%41.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.382.5345.45%42.36%42.02%39.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Criciuma (Visitante)
Predicción 29.63%3.37momio equitativo
EV +0.744%
Ventaja +0.219%
Kelly +0.310%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.34%29.45%29.71%30.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.153.4034.48%31.61%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.22%3.10momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.562%
Kelly -0.837%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.74%32.11%32.19%32.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.882.883.0538.02%34.76%34.72%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV +0.744%E +0.219%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -1.72%E -0.562%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.94%E -6.70%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -14.94%E -6.70%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -2.22%E -0.672%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -3.70%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.03%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.79%EV -4.29%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 23:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.12%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -5.90%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.12%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -5.90%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.13%E -3.24%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -9.13%E -3.24%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.66%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -7.55%E -2.42%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -8.48%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| BetUS | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.59%EV -8.80%E -3.11%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Bovada | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 00:05 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 00:03 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 23:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -15.25%E -5.80%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 00:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.36% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 00:10 |