Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grêmio Novorizontino v Cuiabá

2026-09-13 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)

Prediction 54.22%1.84fair odd
EV -7.28%
Edge -4.26%
Kelly -10.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.01%54.22%54.22%54.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.711.7161.73%59.52%58.48%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cuiabá (Visit)

Prediction 18.59%5.38fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.31%18.59%18.59%18.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.704.955.105.1021.28%20.20%19.61%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -6.19%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.07%27.19%27.19%27.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.453.4531.25%29.75%28.99%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Grêmio Novorizontino (Local): 54.22%; Cuiabá (Visit): 18.59%; Draw: 27.19%. For Cuiabá (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.38. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.10, with an expected value of -5.19%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.62%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.62%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 22:05
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.62%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.62%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.62%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.62%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 22:00
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.62%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -8.91%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -10.00%E -6.02%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.01%EV -10.54%E -6.39%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 22:05
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.06%EV -11.08%E -6.76%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.03%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.62%EV -12.63%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -12.99%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.03%EV -12.16%E -7.51%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.62%EV -12.63%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -12.99%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.