StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Grêmio Novorizontino v Cuiabá

Matchstart: 2026-09-13 21:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Grêmio Novorizontino 1–1 Cuiabá

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Grêmio Novorizontino (Hemma)

Prognos 57.77%1.73rättvist odds
EV -2.95%
Fördel -1.76%
Kelly -4.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.06%57.61%57.78%59.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.611.611.6865.36%62.00%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Cuiabá (Borta)

Prognos 16.25%6.15rättvist odds
EV +1.56%
Fördel +0.250%
Kelly +0.298%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.89%16.35%16.23%18.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.755.495.506.2521.05%18.21%18.18%16.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.98%3.85rättvist odds
EV -2.56%
Fördel -0.683%
Kelly -0.931%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.21%26.04%26.00%27.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.67%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Grêmio Novorizontino (Hemma): 57.77%; Cuiabá (Borta): 16.25%; Oavgjort: 25.98%. För Cuiabá (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.15. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.56%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.27%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +1.56%E +0.250%K +0.298%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 20:50
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.86%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.42%EV +1.08%E +0.173%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.72%EV -3.08%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -2.50%E -0.416%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 20:50
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -11.62%E -7.59%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -2.50%E -0.416%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -11.62%E -7.59%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -2.50%E -0.416%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 21:15
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.36%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 15.77%EV -3.64%E -0.613%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -9.58%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -5.75%E -0.991%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 21:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -5.75%E -0.991%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 21:00
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -5.75%E -0.991%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 21:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.92%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -5.75%E -0.991%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 20:45
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 20:54
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 20:45
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.20%EV -8.15%E -5.13%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.14%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -6.56%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 21:05
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -7.37%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 20:45
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -7.37%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 20:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.74%EV -8.15%E -5.13%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -9.00%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 20:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 20:40
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -12.95%E -3.87%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 21:06
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 21:26
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 20:44
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.46%E -6.75%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -10.62%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 21:25
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -14.69%E -2.80%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 20:45
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -14.69%E -2.80%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -14.69%E -2.80%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -14.69%E -2.80%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 20:45
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -14.69%E -2.80%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 20:45
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -15.50%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -15.50%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 21:15
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -15.50%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -15.50%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -15.50%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -15.50%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 21:15
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -15.50%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 21:15
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -3.53%E -2.11%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -18.75%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.60%EV -5.26%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -20.37%E -4.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -14.25%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.60%EV -5.26%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -20.37%E -4.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -14.25%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 21:15
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.60%EV -5.26%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.27%EV -20.37%E -4.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -14.25%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.75%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -20.37%E -4.16%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.25%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 21:15
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.06%EV -5.26%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -22.81%E -4.80%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -15.55%E -4.79%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-12 14:18
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.94%0.1%2026-09-13 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.14%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.60%0.2%2026-09-13 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-09-13 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-09-13 21:25
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.84%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-09-13 21:20