Language:English
Goiás v São Bernardo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Goiás (Local)
Prediction 46.37%2.16fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.54%46.56%46.26%49.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.961.982.0655.56%51.14%50.51%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
São Bernardo (Visit)
Prediction 23.08%4.33fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.253%
Kelly +0.328%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.52%23.00%23.07%24.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.004.004.3827.78%24.98%25.00%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.55%3.27fair odd
EV -0.726%
Edge -0.223%
Kelly -0.323%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.94%30.43%30.67%31.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.043.003.2534.48%32.89%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goiás (Local): 46.37%; São Bernardo (Visit): 23.08%; Draw: 30.55%. For São Bernardo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.87%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.94%EV +1.11%E +0.253%K +0.328%G +0.004% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.20%EV -5.92%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -11.90%E -6.26%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.83%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.68%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.08%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -13.29%E -7.11%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.42%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -4.20%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.42%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -4.20%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.86%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.52%EV -7.14%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV -5.59%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -5.61%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.43%E -5.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.43%E -5.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -15.14%E -8.27%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -15.14%E -8.27%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -14.22%E -7.68%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.60%EV -15.61%E -8.57%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.88%EV -16.53%E -9.19%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.88%EV -16.53%E -9.19%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.01%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.52%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -11.43%E -5.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |