Idioma:Español
Goiás v São Bernardo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Goiás (Local)
Predicción 46.37%2.16momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -4.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.54%46.56%46.26%49.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.961.982.0655.56%51.14%50.51%48.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
São Bernardo (Visitante)
Predicción 23.08%4.33momio equitativo
EV +1.11%
Ventaja +0.253%
Kelly +0.328%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.52%23.00%23.07%24.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.004.004.3827.78%24.98%25.00%22.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.55%3.27momio equitativo
EV -0.726%
Ventaja -0.223%
Kelly -0.323%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.94%30.43%30.67%31.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.043.003.2534.48%32.89%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Goiás (Local): 46.37%; São Bernardo (Visitante): 23.08%; Empate: 30.55%. Para São Bernardo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.33. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.11%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.87%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.94%EV +1.11%E +0.253%K +0.328%G +0.004% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.20%EV -5.92%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -11.90%E -6.26%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.83%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.68%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.08%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -13.29%E -7.11%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.42%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -4.20%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.42%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -4.20%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.86%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.52%EV -7.14%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV -5.59%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -5.61%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.43%E -5.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.43%E -5.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -15.14%E -8.27%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -15.14%E -8.27%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -14.22%E -7.68%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.60%EV -15.61%E -8.57%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.88%EV -16.53%E -9.19%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.88%EV -16.53%E -9.19%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.01%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.52%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -11.43%E -5.99%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.19% | 0.2% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |