StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Goiás v São Bernardo

Matchstart: 2026-08-28 22:31 UTC

Slutresultat: Goiás 2–1 São Bernardo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Goiás (Hemma)

Prognos 46.37%2.16rättvist odds
EV -4.48%
Fördel -2.17%
Kelly -4.22%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.54%46.56%46.26%49.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.801.961.982.0655.56%51.14%50.51%48.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

São Bernardo (Borta)

Prognos 23.08%4.33rättvist odds
EV +1.11%
Fördel +0.253%
Kelly +0.328%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.52%23.00%23.07%24.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.604.004.004.3827.78%24.98%25.00%22.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.55%3.27rättvist odds
EV -0.726%
Fördel -0.223%
Kelly -0.323%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.94%30.43%30.67%31.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.043.003.2534.48%32.89%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Goiás (Hemma): 46.37%; São Bernardo (Borta): 23.08%; Oavgjort: 30.55%. För São Bernardo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.33. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.38, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.11%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.87%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.94%EV +1.11%E +0.253%K +0.328%G +0.004%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.20%EV -5.92%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 22:15
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -11.90%E -6.26%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 22:20
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 22:20
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.83%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.68%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.08%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 22:25
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -13.29%E -7.11%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.05%E -0.725%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-28 22:20
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.42%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -4.20%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 22:25
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.42%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -4.20%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 22:25
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.86%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.52%EV -7.14%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 22:15
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.84%EV -5.59%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.23%EV -5.61%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 22:25
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 22:20
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 22:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.43%E -5.99%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-28 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.43%E -5.99%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-28 22:15
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -15.14%E -8.27%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -15.14%E -8.27%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 22:20
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 22:20
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 22:15
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -14.22%E -7.68%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.60%EV -15.61%E -8.57%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.88%EV -16.53%E -9.19%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-28 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.88%EV -16.53%E -9.19%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-28 22:20
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 22:20
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 22:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.01%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 22:20
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.52%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-28 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -11.43%E -5.99%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 22:15
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-28 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-28 22:25
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-28 22:25
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-28 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-28 22:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.19%0.2%2026-08-28 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.19%0.2%2026-08-28 22:25
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%0.6%2026-08-28 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%0.6%2026-08-28 22:25
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-08-28 22:25