Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.31
assuming max odds 3.79
assuming max odds 3.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goiás (Local): 41.61%; Juventude (Visit): 26.16%; Draw: 32.23%. For Juventude (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.79, with an expected value of -0.850%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.70%EV -3.89%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.42%EV -0.850%E -0.224%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.88%EV -5.56%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -1.90%E -0.506%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -10.40%E -3.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.28%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -1.90%E -0.506%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.20%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 00:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.34%EV -6.80%E -3.04%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -5.30%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.07%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -7.63%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-19 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -1.90%E -0.506%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -3.20%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.52%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.39%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.52%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.39%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 00:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-19 00:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -14.98%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-19 00:22 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -16.28%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-19 00:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 00:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -9.30%E -4.26%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-18 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.76%EV -9.30%E -4.26%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -10.13%E -4.69%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.97%E -4.81%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.97%E -4.81%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 40.80%EV -10.96%E -5.12%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -14.98%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -12.97%E -4.81%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 40.80%EV -10.96%E -5.12%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -14.98%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -12.97%E -4.81%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-18 23:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.62%E -6.01%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 1.6% | 2026-08-19 00:30 |