Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Goiás v Juventude

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-19 00:35 UTC

Score final : Goiás 0–1 Juventude

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Goiás (Local)

Prévision 41.61%2.40cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.63%41.56%41.63%42.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.202.3147.62%45.07%45.45%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Juventude (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.16%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.850%
Avantage -0.224%
Kelly -0.305%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.73%26.15%26.19%28.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.503.7931.25%28.78%28.57%26.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 32.23%3.10cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%32.29%32.17%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.832.813.0037.04%35.35%35.59%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Goiás (Local) : 41.61% ; Juventude (Visiteur) : 26.16% ; Match nul : 32.23%. Pour Juventude (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.82. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.79, pour une espérance de -0.850% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.70%EV -3.89%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.42%EV -0.850%E -0.224%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.88%EV -5.56%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -1.90%E -0.506%K -0.689%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -10.40%E -3.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.28%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -1.90%E -0.506%K -0.689%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 00:25
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 23:55
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 23:55
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 23:55
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.20%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 00:15
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 00:15
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 00:30
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 00:20
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.34%EV -6.80%E -3.04%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -5.30%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.07%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 00:30
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-18 23:55
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -7.63%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 00:24
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-19 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -1.90%E -0.506%K -0.689%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -3.20%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 00:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 00:15
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 00:15
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-19 00:15
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.52%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.39%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 00:15
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.52%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.39%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 00:14
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-19 00:14
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-19 00:15
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -14.98%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-19 00:22
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -16.28%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-19 00:30
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 00:15
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 00:15
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 00:14
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -9.30%E -4.26%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-18 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.76%EV -9.30%E -4.26%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-18 23:55
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -10.13%E -4.69%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-18 23:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.97%E -4.81%K -7.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-19 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.97%E -4.81%K -7.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-19 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.80%EV -10.96%E -5.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -14.98%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -12.97%E -4.81%K -7.63%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-18 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.80%EV -10.96%E -5.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -14.98%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -12.97%E -4.81%K -7.63%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-18 23:55
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.62%E -6.01%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-18 19:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%0.9%2026-08-19 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-08-19 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-08-19 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-08-19 00:20
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-08-19 00:30