默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Goiás v Fortaleza

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Goiás 0–1 Fortaleza

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Goiás (主队)

预测 36.84%2.71公平赔率
EV -2.74%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -1.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.64

博彩公司预测分布
35.02%36.84%36.79%39.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.432.452.6445.45%41.09%40.82%37.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fortaleza (客队)

预测 31.60%3.16公平赔率
EV -2.05%
优势 -0.661%
Kelly -0.975%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
29.72%31.56%31.51%32.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.922.903.1035.71%34.22%34.48%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.56%3.17公平赔率
EV -2.16%
优势 -0.698%
Kelly -1.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.11%31.60%31.69%33.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.31%34.48%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Goiás (主队):36.84%;Fortaleza (客队):31.60%;平局:31.56%。 对于“Fortaleza (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.16。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.10,期望值为-2.05%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.94%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -3.63%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.00%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 07:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.00%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 07:40
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -5.32%E -2.07%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 14:41
BetUS🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -5.32%E -2.07%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 14:49
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.35%EV -5.68%E -2.22%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.44%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.20%EV -8.79%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.90%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -14.79%E -5.48%K -8.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.46%EV -6.42%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -7.10%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.04%EV -8.79%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:25
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -2.16%E -0.698%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.16%E -0.698%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 19:00
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 06:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 14:49
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:40
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 05:49
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 19:05
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 05:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 19:09
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 19:09
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 14:49
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 07:05
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 00:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 36.87%EV -10.11%E -4.14%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 05:59
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 11:24
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-03 14:45
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:40
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -15.26%E -6.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -3.63%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 06:29
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -17.11%E -7.60%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -17.11%E -7.60%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 06:45
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.61%EV -17.84%E -8.00%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.46%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -18.95%E -8.61%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 06:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -18.95%E -8.61%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 06:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%5.4%2026-09-04 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%10.0%2026-09-04 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%10.0%2026-09-04 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%10.0%2026-09-04 10:20
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.14%10.3%2026-09-04 11:05